Showing posts with label Testing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Testing. Show all posts

Thursday, December 10, 2020

COVID Testing and Politics

 

Partisan Politics May Be Killing Us

There are three main reasons why we don't have easily accessible rapid testing.  

The first is out of abundant caution. The second and third have nothing to do with caution. They are about ideology. That ideology is putting all of us at risk.  Of course, the Trump administration is focused on overturning a free and fair election, instead of the health and well-being of Americans.

Why isn’t the U.S. doing more testing? There are three reasons.

  1. The F.D.A. has been slow to grant approval for new tests. 
  2. The Trump administration has been slow to spend the money that Congress has allocated for testing. 
  3. And Congress may need to allocate more money; mass testing could cost a few billion dollars a month — still a small fraction of the cost of recent proposed virus bills.
-NYTimes

Three Observations

  1. The Trump administration is focused on subverting a free and fair election, instead of the health and well-being of Americans.
  2. Conservatives are more concerned about the bottom line than people's lives. 
  3. A Little leadership would be nice. Set the ideology aside and do what is best.

Follow the Science

Testing will remain important going forward, Yes, we are on the verge of several vaccines, but we are months away from getting anything close to full coverage.

Dr. Fauci has spoken several times about the importance of testing. 

Importance of testing: 

Testing is the first step for contact tracing -- a tried and true public health approach that involves identifying cases quickly, isolating and treating those people, identifying their contacts and testing them to see if they need to be isolated or quarantined.
“But deep down perhaps I should have been much more vocal about saying we have really, absolutely, got to do that,’” Fauci said. “I saw that it went nowhere and maybe I should have kept pushing the envelope on that.”

Testing is important because otherwise cases spread silently, Fauci noted. “What is going on now that you don’t recognize becomes a case a few weeks later,” he said.

“That becomes a hospitalization a few weeks later. That becomes intensive care a few days later. That becomes death a few weeks later.”

Fauci said he was hesitant to talk about his regrets for fear his statements would be taken out of context as sound-bites. - Associated Press

There were over 218,000 new cases in the US on December 9th, and over 3,000 deaths according to Johns Hopkins University, 





Saturday, April 18, 2020

#COVID-19 what is the acceptable death rate?

Let's open up and see what happens.

Some Republicans and right wing media pundits are talking about acceptable death rates from COVID-19 when talking about opening up the economy. They compare the COVID-19 numbers to the number of deaths and injuries due to automobile collisions.

3 million people in the U.S. are injured every year in car accidents.
More than 38,000 people die every year in crashes on U.S. roadways.

In a little over a month there have been over 712,000 confirmed cases and almost 33,000 deaths in the US.

These are confirmed cases. They do not reflect actual numbers because of the lack of available test kits.In the US we are currently able to test about 150,000 people per day because there aren't enough tests to go around. Complicating this is the lack of availability of testing facilities and lab capacity. If the rate of testing were to remain at 150,000 per day, everybody in the US would be tested by January 2027.


Wednesday, April 15, 2020

Not There Yet

Testing this week has slowed because we're running out of elements used in the test. Without the availability of widespread testing, it is impossible to measure the impact and extent of the virus.
Up to this point, we have not had wide spread testing.
Without testing we're all at a higher risk. The number of deaths in New York went up by 4000 in one day this week. Most of those deaths are attributed to COVID-19 after the fact because of reported symptoms. Most of those victims never got tested. How many people stay at home and recover without knowing they had the virus?
How comfortable are you about going back to work without knowing more?